Behind the boatloads of immigrants is an uncomfortable and unknown story

by Guido Bolaffi - 2017.07.14
Behind the boatloads of immigrants is an uncomfortable and unknown story
  • Share on Facebook Share on Twitter Share on Whatsapp
  • Print

Behind the migratory aggression that has unfolded for weeks now, taking its toll on Italy, there is another undesirable scenario unfolding. Of which few people speak, and of which even less are aware. Centered entirely on Africa. Or, more precisely, sub-Saharan Africa. A hazy line of demarcation that goes on seemingly forever, that starts from the southern border of the Maghreb and extends all the way to South Africa: comprised of as many as 48 states, some of which have long been bankrupt.

A restless giant, tormented by devastating internal conflicts that Italy and Europe, if they don’t want to be obliterated themselves by immigration, instead of continuing to play the current, inconclusive tug-of-war, would best face together, and immediately. To be convinced, one need only read the important and powerful report put together by an impressive group of scholars led by John May and Hans Groth, published by Springer a few weeks ago, titled: “Africa’s Population: In search of a Demographic Dividend”. Among its pages, one discovers numbers that give an idea of the dimensions of the problems that are simmering over there. Also of the countermeasures that need to be adopted in the immediate as well as the medium-long term period, if we don’t want, given the warning signs of these last days, that the final straw breaks Italy’s back and with it, that of the Old Continent too. Because, as Pliny the Elder wisely advised already centuries ago:”ex Africa semper aliquid novi”. Which, translated liberally means: Africa brings with it a lot of headaches. It takes only two examples to get the picture.

1) the Sub-Saharan population, that currently represents 13% of the planet, driven by an average female fertility rate of 5 children, that remains unequaled throughout the world, with the exception of East Timor and Afghanistan, in 2100 will represent 36%;

2) according to the latest calculations of the International Monetary Fund, the economy of the sub-Saharan region will need to create at least 18-20 million jobs over the next 25 years, if it is to stay standing.

Figures that not only make one’s mouth drop, but that make one’s head spin. That for the most part are the result, explain the authors, of economic selfishness, cultural backwardness, and total blindness with regard to internal politics. That, on one hand allow the dominant oligarchies to ask the West to provide resources and assist with modernizing their economies, while, on the other hand, they pretend to not see or resolve problem number one: the birthrate. According to May and Groth, in fact, with sexual education of the women and distribution of contraceptives, the number of sub-Saharan births would decrease to 3 (from 5), as was the case over the last 20-30 years, in all of the countries of east Asia, and in the most important Islamic countries, Iran being the leader. And in those societies, the demographics of this dangerous internal bomb would be transformed into a virtuoso demographic dividend that would avoid giving us (and them) the headaches to which Pliny the Elder made reference.

Related:
  • The European Court of Justice rejects attempts to skirt immigration laws

    The European Court of Justice (ECJ) taught a lesson to those in Italy who thought they could get around immigration laws, clarifying once again, that it is useless to try and pull the wool over the court’s eyes when trying to find solutions to complex issues. The judges in Luxemburg, Read More.

  • Record numbers of repatriations for illegal immigrants in the EU

    Record number of repatriation for illegal immigrants in the European Union. According to the latest Eurostat report, in fact, more than 226,000 extra-EU citizens who were illegally present in the European Community territory were sent back to their countries of origin. This is the highest number yet recorded since 2008, Read More.

  • There is no one unique integration for all immigrants

    Adriano Cancellieri is a Sociologist at Iuav University in Venice and has just published Migrants and Urban Space in the latest issue of Il Mulino magazine. Q: In one of your recent articles, to summarize briefly, you speak about the integration of immigrants as being all or nothing. Can you explain Read More.

  • How many Italian municipalities do host immigrants

    "Less than 50% of the total number of Italian municipalities host immigrants." This was reported by the Minister of the Interior during the question time that was held yesterday at the Chamber of Deputies. During which it emerged that only 3,153 local realities give or have given hospitality to newcomers. Read More.

  • It is sad to deny citizenship as a birth-right and still welcome the barges

    The Italian Government’s about face on citizenship as a birth-right is the price we could pay for the unresolved immigration emergency in the Mediterranean. To add insult to injury or allow the defeat of the honest versus dishonest, we will give up a modernized system designed to streamline the procedures for Read More.

  • Regarding immigration French offers nothing new with Macron

    Italian immigration will not be able to count on the help of the new French president. At least, that’s what it seems after reading Emmanuel Macron’s recently proposed plan on migration flows: he seems much more intent on defending national borders and managing internal issues concerning integration of foreigners, than Read More.